Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 2.632087 3.142136 3.698027 4.345589 5.075835 5.870499 6.797223
2026-02-01 1.802249 2.438761 3.196222 4.150775 5.307683 6.650560 8.312428
2026-02-08 1.264466 1.940160 2.815969 4.002847 5.535874 7.415405 9.857258
2026-02-15 0.913157 1.589962 2.543398 3.925731 5.815493 8.244136 11.530195
2026-02-22 0.729146 1.424828 2.479806 4.099419 6.418709 9.512894 13.833276
2026-03-01 0.550937 1.219765 2.315558 4.097650 6.767746 10.458781 15.765732
2026-03-08 0.377064 0.968147 2.026250 3.859336 6.740860 10.873141 16.993397
2026-03-15 0.262505 0.786001 1.809634 3.693133 6.787803 11.374631 18.348082
2026-03-22 0.220257 0.739772 1.822412 3.899587 7.416015 12.743109 20.981330
2026-03-29 0.195707 0.726124 1.892381 4.207939 8.223059 14.411670 24.110809
2026-04-05 0.168507 0.695962 1.922717 4.445013 8.925004 15.949253 27.103063
2026-04-12 0.130652 0.620580 1.843698 4.468453 9.266863 16.944231 29.323511
2026-04-19 0.090731 0.518742 1.687754 4.331205 9.333173 17.528841 30.981222
2026-04-26 0.062700 0.437291 1.558303 4.226244 9.442925 18.182798 32.766542
2026-05-03 0.042552 0.368888 1.442200 4.129756 9.554512 18.837859 34.570594
2026-05-10 0.029226 0.317294 1.355849 4.083046 9.750125 19.635162 36.620657
2026-05-17 0.024148 0.305007 1.378659 4.282302 10.423600 21.259497 40.032884
2026-05-24 0.016940 0.269947 1.323174 4.292854 10.730262 22.269690 42.488545
2026-05-31 0.009029 0.211763 1.172764 4.053103 10.520563 22.375304 43.476088
2026-06-07 0.004730 0.169953 1.059850 3.884802 10.435681 22.686957 44.801454
2026-06-14 0.003868 0.167366 1.094035 4.101969 11.163318 24.469580 48.614722
2026-06-21 0.003589 0.173498 1.164983 4.424009 12.127589 26.705424 53.235156
2026-06-28 0.003002 0.172658 1.207050 4.671301 12.943604 28.695172 57.483894